Oregon is the third state to file a lawsuit against Coinbase. According to the state, the crypto behemoth sold unregistered securities, ultimately leaving Oregonians holding the bag. In Attorney General Rayfield’s narrative, it seems like the only individuals purchasing these high-risk assets are vulnerable investors being fleeced. Or is this an opportunistic campaign against technology consumers should be free to choose? Or is the state just posturing in a field they don’t have chops in. And most importantly, what does this mean for the future, now that the SEC has dropped its own case?

Are State Lines Relevant In Crypto?

Let's be blunt: the beauty – and the beast – of cryptocurrency is its decentralized, borderless nature. How can one state hope to effectively regulate an industry that runs 24/7 and across the world? It’s the equivalent of trying to hold back the tide with a thimble. Oregon’s lawsuit, though hopeful and well-meaning, is a bit like using a band-aid to address a festering global sore.

Think about it. If an Oregonian is unable to purchase a particular token on Coinbase, they can simply move to another exchange. With a few clicks, they could even select one from outside their own country! The risk isn't eliminated, it's merely shifted. Even as political theater, the lawsuit’s effectiveness is questionable. Rather than focusing our time and money on litigation, we can use those resources to help educate investors and encourage collaboration with regulators.

That all sounds a bit familiar to me—as someone who lived through the early internet boom and bust. States tried to regulate online commerce, having quite a bit of success at times. This created a bewildering patchwork of contradictory statutes that hampered innovation. Are we repeating that mistake with crypto?

ICP's Plunge: A Cautionary Tale?

The lawsuit uses Internet Computer Protocol (ICP) as the poster case for an unregistered security disaster. And yes, it’s true that ICP’s price chart at least superficially resembles a cliff dive. But is that Coinbase's fault?

The lawsuit claims that Coinbase listed ICP, provided a marketplace for buyers and sellers to transact, facilitated and settled trades, and marketed the digital asset. Isn’t that what an exchange is supposed to do? To me, blaming Coinbase for the price volatility of a specific token is like blaming a stockbroker when a stock goes bust.

Considering that the SEC recently flagged ICP as an unregistered security, this adds a whole lot of fuel to the fire. The SEC dropping its own case is the real twist here. Does this undermine Oregon's legal foundation? Or does it portend a broader regulatory change in the winds?

It’s awfully convenient to play blame the dog after the fact. But the crypto market is inherently volatile. Investors should be able to comprehend the risks they are taking, which means exchanges must accurately disclose what the risks are. Yet it seems a stretch to hold Coinbase entirely responsible for the performance of an asset as volatile as crypto.

Japan's Crypto Embrace: A Better Way?

Rather than adopt litigiousness and regulatory overreach, maybe Oregon needs to identify better models of success, like Japan. Unlike the U.S., Japan has been much more proactive and collaborative in their massive dive into cryptocurrency regulation. They’ve developed a licensing regime for crypto exchanges, encouraging a more transparent and regulated industry.

Japan has not removed risk from the table, but they have established a modified framework that weighs consumer protection while allowing innovation to thrive. They’ve realized that crypto is the future and it's not going anywhere, and are trying to find creative ways to incorporate it responsibly into their financial system.

FeatureOregon (Lawsuit Approach)Japan (Proactive Regulation)
Regulatory StyleReactive, PunitiveProactive, Collaborative
FocusEnforcementLicensing, Transparency
InnovationPotentially StifledPotentially Encouraged

Oregon could learn a thing or two. Rather than taking Coinbase to court, why not team up with the industry to create clear guidelines and best practices? Why not invest instead in educating those investors about the risks and rewards of cryptocurrency? Instead, why not have a regulatory sandbox where innovative crypto projects can test themselves under controlled conditions.

It’s all very similar to the early days of online poker. The federal government responded with a sweeping crackdown, forcing the industry out of the country and further complicating regulation. Instead, the UK went a much more pragmatic route, licensing and heavily regulating online poker sites. The strategy worked and brought in a lot of tax revenue to the island.

Oregon’s lawsuit against Coinbase is prompting some important questions about the future of cryptocurrency regulation. Is it a harmful but burdensome precaution to ensure consumer safety, or is it a costly regulatory overreach that will kill innovation? Just how much though, the answer I would guess is somewhere between the two extremes. One thing is clear: a more nuanced, collaborative, and globally-minded approach is needed. The SEC dropping the case against Coinbase adds additional uncertainty to the already cloudy lawsuit.

Ultimately, Oregon's lawsuit against Coinbase raises fundamental questions about the future of cryptocurrency regulation. Is it a necessary evil to protect consumers, or a regulatory overreach that will stifle innovation? The answer, I suspect, lies somewhere in the middle. But one thing is clear: a more nuanced, collaborative, and globally-minded approach is needed. And the SEC dropping the case against Coinbase brings even more uncertainty to the lawsuit.