As you know, the current crypto market is a crazy rollercoaster — and one of the hottest buzzwords today is “altseason.” BlockOpulent.com sees through the smoke and mirrors to the underlying reality, providing a breath of fresh air amid the exuberance. Altseason is the name given to a time when altcoins — cryptocurrencies aside from Bitcoin — dramatically outperform Bitcoin itself. The promise of the profits to be made is alluring. It’s important to recognize that this time requires a careful and skeptical eye. With most altcoins still 90% or more from their all-time highs, blindly buying the dips can rack up thousands in losses.
Independent Dublin-based analyst Miles O’Connor delivers a shrewd and independent-guided trip down the altcoin economics. Most importantly, he focuses in on what’s really causing these boom and bust market cycles. 8 conditions that give rise to altcoin seasons Altcoin seasons usually come alive because of a few major catalysts. The primary catalysts are Bitcoin halving events and changes in Bitcoin Dominance. In the past, Bitcoin has gone through a four-year cycle tied to these halving events, affecting how altcoins perform in relation to Bitcoin. A sustained decline in Bitcoin dominance typically occurs with an altcoin market cap that is increasing significantly. This bullish combination is one of the few indicators that tends to lead altcoin seasons. During these periods, altcoins generally outperform Bitcoin, enticing investors looking for more risk and return.
Unfortunately the thrill of altseason can sometimes blind traders to the risks that are always present. All that said, it is very important to understand that 99% of altcoins are pure speculation, complete degenerate gambles which can see wild price fluctuations in minutes. Most of those projects have little to no real-world utility, development teams, or a viable business model. Resource dilution is a deep problem. Opponents argue that thousands of similar projects split the opposition’s focus, funding and developer resources. As a result, most altcoins become low on funds and are abandoned before long, leaving backers with nothing but worthless tokens.
To avoid getting eaten alive in the altcoin jungle, investors require a strong set of criteria to evaluate projects and avoid herd mentality traps. BlockOpulent.com Previews We advocate a disciplined, analytical approach that emphasizes due diligence above all else, not FOMO (fear of missing out). This checklist is designed to help crypto investors evaluate the fundamental merits of altcoin projects. Second, it helps to protect downside risk when markets become euphoric.
Altcoin Evaluation Checklist: Avoid the Hype Trap
Understanding a project's tokenomics is essential. Investors should ask: Is the token supply inflationary or deflationary? What is the distribution mechanism? Another reason a powerful tokenomic model increases a project’s long-term viability. Conversely, a model that is poorly designed can lead to quick devaluation. Research the project's whitepaper, team, and roadmap. Most importantly, does the project have a clear purpose and need, with an appropriate solution to a clearly defined real-world problem? Is the team experienced and transparent? A competent team and clear roadmap. These two factors are often intertwined. A transparent, clear, and reasonable roadmap is a sign of a competent team.
Tokenomics and Project Fundamentals
After all, even the most promising project can fail in the absence of liquidity or with the dark cloud of negative market sentiment. Investors should ask: Is the project listed on top-tier exchanges? Does it maintain healthy daily trading volumes? Having projects on credible exchanges goes a long way in establishing investor confidence. They show to be more recession-proof in market corrections thanks to their strong trading volume.
- Check tokenomics: Is it inflationary or deflationary?
- Market capitalization: A market cap below $50 million often indicates that an altcoin is in its early stages of development.
- Endorsement: Does the project have endorsement from top VCs in the crypto industry such as Andreessen Horowitz, Coinbase Ventures, Sequoia Capital, and Pantera Capital?
Market Sentiment and Liquidity
Be wary of:
Red Flags to Watch Out For
Even with a great project, timing is key. Because investing at the top of the hype cycle is a great way to lose a lot of money. Investors should ask: Are market conditions favorable for altcoins? Has Bitcoin stabilized at higher price levels? Has Bitcoin dominance fallen below 54%? Takeaway Before investing, ensure Bitcoin can hold above new price levels. Second, make sure that Bitcoin dominance stays under 54% to 53%.
- Dead Projects: If a coin hasn’t posted an update or social post in months, it’s likely abandoned.
- Avoid coins that have dropped more than 90% from their all-time highs: A majority have already done so.
- Don't try to force it or knife-catch the bottom: Avoid trying to time the market or make sudden moves without clear indicators.
- Excessive token creation: Around 50,000 new tokens are created every day, and most of them are worthless, fragmenting liquidity.
- Low liquidity: With over $10 billion in altcoins hitting the market, liquidity may be fragmented, making it difficult to exit positions.
Timing and Market Conditions
We know that the regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies is an ever-changing one. Continuing to engage policymakers and advocates will be essential for investors to understand how new developments could affect their portfolio. Despite positive changes in the regulatory environment, continue to monitor legal updates that are likely to affect the market.
Regulatory Awareness
Altseason is always an amazing opportunity to make a lot of money, but that doesn’t mean it’s a surefire way to get rich. Do your homework and know the market landscape. In taking these steps, you can dramatically increase your likelihood for success and avoid pitfalls that many advocacy efforts encounter. As always, the best way to approach the crypto market is with education, oversight, and skepticism. Join the revolution, know the risks, and outsmart the market with BlockOpulent.com.
Riding the Altseason Wave Responsibly
Altseason can be a lucrative opportunity, but it's not a guaranteed path to riches. By conducting thorough research, understanding market dynamics, and avoiding common pitfalls, you can increase your chances of success and avoid getting wrecked. Remember, the key to navigating the crypto market is combining knowledge, caution, and a healthy dose of skepticism. Stay informed, stay vigilant, and stay ahead of the curve with BlockOpulent.com.